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Tennessee’s February 2010 Revenues

March 10th, 2010 No comments

The Tennessee State Capitol in Nashville

NASHVILLE – State revenue collections once again fell short of budgeted estimates last month. Overall February revenues were $638.9 million, which is $47.1 million less than the state budgeted.

“This entire fiscal year has brought us negative growth in the sales tax, which is almost two-thirds of our revenue,” Finance and Administration Commissioner Dave Goetz said. “Moreover, the running total is now 21 consecutive months of negative growth in sales tax collections since January 2008, when the downward economic spiral began for us in Tennessee.”

“In spite of the budgetary challenges, we have laid out a plan for balancing the budget and we’re working with the Legislature to end this year and the next with a balanced budget, as our constitution requires.”

On an accrual basis, February is the seventh month in the 2009-2010 fiscal year.

The general fund was under collected by $43.8 million and the four other funds were under collected by $3.3 million.

Sales tax collections were $38.4 million less than the estimate for February. The February growth rate was negative 6.67%. The year-to-date growth rate for seven months is negative 5.84%.

Franchise and excise taxes combined were $1.4 million above the budgeted estimate of $33.0 million. For seven months revenues are over collected by $7.4 million. The year-to-date growth rate for seven months is 8.32%.

Gasoline and motor fuel collections for February decreased by 3.86%, but were $180,000 above the budgeted estimate of $68.3 million. For seven months revenues are under collected by $13.9 million.

Tobacco tax collections were $4.0 million under the budgeted estimate of $23.1 million. For seven months revenues are over collected in the amount of $303,000.

Year-to-date collections for seven months were $232.4 million less than the budgeted estimate. The general fund was under collected by $196.3 million and the four other funds were under collected by $36.1 million.

The budgeted revenue estimates for 2009-2010 are based on the State Funding Board’s consensus recommendation adopted by the first session of the 106th General Assembly in May of 2009, and are available on the state’s Web site at http://www.tn.gov/finance/bud/budget.html.

The State Funding Board met again on December 18, 2009 and adopted revised revenue ranges for 2009-2010. The revised ranges reflect growth rates ranging from negative 1.50% to negative 0.25% in total taxes, and negative 2.35% to negative 0.85% in general fund taxes.

Based on the funding board’s consensus recommendation, the official budgeted estimates for 2009-2010 were revised in late December. The revised estimates are reflected on pages A-70 and A-72 in the 2010-2011 Budget Document. The revised estimates assume an under collection in total taxes in the amount of $161.3 million, and an under collection of $153.2 million in the general fund.

via February Revenues | TN.gov Newsroom.

November Revenues for Tennessee

December 15th, 2009 No comments

NASHVILLE – State tax collections fell below budgeted estimates in November, for the fourth consecutive month of the fiscal year that began on July 1, 2009. Finance & Administration Commissioner Dave Goetz today announced that state revenue collections for November were $708.2 million, which is 0.52% below November 2008 collections. November collections reflect consumer spending in October.

“November is the 18th consecutive month in which sales tax collections have experienced negative growth,” Goetz said. “If there’s a bright spot, it’s worth noting that the growth rate for sales tax collections in November, while still negative, fared slightly better than the month before, when it was negative 7.8 percent.”

“It’s important to remember we won’t see how after-Thanksgiving retail sales performed until this time next month, when we’ve collected revenues for November spending.”

On an accrual basis, November is the fourth month in the 2009-2010 fiscal year.

November collections were $13.5 million less than the budgeted estimate. The general fund was under collected by $8.1 million and the four other funds were under collected by $5.4 million.

Sales tax collections were $21.2 million less than the estimate for November. The November growth rate was negative 4.45%. Year-to-date the growth rate is negative 7.52%.

Franchise and excise combined collections for November were $42.3 million, which is $11.6 million above the budgeted estimate of $30.7 million.

Gasoline and motor fuel collections were $5.3 million less than the budgeted estimate of $72.5 million.

Tobacco tax collections for the month were over collected by $4.3, with November collections at $27.8 million.

Inheritance and Estate taxes were under collected by $3.7 million for the month.

All other taxes were over collected by a net of $600,000.

Year-to date collections for four months were $114.8 million less than the budgeted estimate. The general fund was under collected by $96.3 million and the four other funds were under collected by $18.5 million.

The budgeted revenue estimates for 2009-2010 are based on the State Funding Board’s consensus recommendation adopted by the first session of the 106th General Assembly in May of 2009, and are available on the state’s Web site at http//www.tn.gov/finance/bud/budget.html.

via November Revenues | TN.gov Newsroom.

Tennessee Housing Market – 3rd quarter 2009

November 20th, 2009 No comments

Middle Tennessee State University has done a great job analyzing the housing market in Tennessee for the 3th quarter, 2009.  In the link below they give data on employment, permits, repeat sales, mortgage tax collections, transfer tax collections, foreclosures, and inventory.

Economic activity contracted again for Tennessee’s economy in the third quarter as aggregate measures of employment continued
to decline and the unemployment rate rose (Table 1).  Nonfarm employment declined more than in previous quarters, with much of the decline centered in manufacturing and construction.

The unemployment rate rose slightly to 10.7 percent from 10.5 percent in the second quarter, but the small increase should not be considered a sign of improvement because total employment continued to drop. The unemployment rate did not rise much because thousands of persons without work stopped searching for employment, shrinking the labor force at least temporarily. 

New claims for unemployment insurance continued to decline in the third quarter but at a slower pace compared with earlier this year (Figure 1). The four-week moving average dropped to 10,031 during the final week of October, the lowest rate since November 2008. Falling initial claims signal that fewer layoffs are occurring, helping to reduce the upward pressure on the unemployment rate. Sustained improvements in the unemployment rate will require more than just fewer layoffs, however; net job creation is needed.

Housing construction and sales provided one of the few positive contributions for the Tennessee economy, but these gains may be tenuous. Sustainable growth in the housing market will require growth of employment and payrolls, both of which appear distant at present.

Read more via  Tennessee Housing Market

BJS North America East Celebrates Grand Opening in Jefferson County

October 16th, 2009 No comments

Dandridge, TN will get 150 new jobs thanks to the efforts of city, county and state officials.  While these jobs are closer to Sullivan County, we have yet to hear anything about new jobs for Sullivan County.  Another missed opportunity for Sullivan County!

New Manufacturing Facility Creates 150 Jobs

NASHVILLE — Tennessee Economic and Community Development Commissioner Matt Kisber along with BJS North America East, Inc., a Swedish furniture manufacturer specializing primarily in bedroom accessories, announced today the grand opening of a new manufacturing facility in Dandridge, Tenn. This move brings a $6-8 million investment to Dandridge, creating approximately 150 jobs.

“Governor Bredesen and I welcome BJS North America East to the Volunteer State,” Commissioner Kisber said. “We’ve worked hard to create a business friendly climate in Tennessee, and we are grateful for BJS North America East’s investment in our citizens and state.”

The company will celebrate the opening of the new facility with a ceremony and ribbon cutting on Friday, Oct. 16 at 11 a.m. at 1000 Industrial Park Road in Dandridge. In addition to the ribbon cutting, BJS will also be celebrating the production of the one millionth piece of furniture for Swedish furniture company IKEA. Local Jefferson County community leaders and several Swedish dignitaries will be in attendance at the ceremony.

With the help of city, county and state officials, the principles of BJS, Pär Lidåker and Kaj Johansson, have partnered with Klote International Corporation official Carl-Gösta Torstensson to bring this facility to Dandridge. The new manufacturing facility located in the Dandridge Industrial Park contains 95,000 square feet of production, warehouse and office space. Read more…

Shocking News About Sullivan County Aging Population

October 8th, 2009 1 comment

I have done many posts concerning the median age and population in Sullivan County, Tennessee and  Sullivan County has one of the oldest populations in the state (click here to view the data).

The data below is from the state and I hope will help illustrate exactly what will happen if Sullivan County continues as it has in the past.

Below in the graph is a breakdown on the population for the different age groups in Sullivan County for the census year 2000 and projections for year 2025.  Sullivan County population in year 2000 was 153,048 and is projected to be 161,262 in year 2025.

Note that in the graph below that the 2025 population for all age groups are less for age groups that are under the 55 to 59 age group.  The year 2025 graph shows that the population numbers shows the population growing for for ages group 55 and up.  The largest single age group with the largest population is the age group 75 and up and the larger part of them are females.

Sulivan-County-2000-to-2025

Is Sullivan County equipped to handle the aging population?  There should great demand for those businesses offering services to the elderly.  But, if you are a pediatric physician, you might want to start your practice elsewhere because of the low birth rate in Sullivan County.

The table below gives the actual population numbers for the different age groups.  I have added the year 2010 which is not plotted in the above graph so you can see what is projected for 2010.  The data from the state is given as number of males and females for each age group and I have added the male and female population numbers together in the table below and the graph.

Population Projections for Sullivan County, TN



Year
Age Group 2000 2010 2025
0 to 4 8,542 8,593 7,897
5 to 9 9,411 9,012 8,498
10 to 14 9,709 8,697 8,538
15 to 19 9,204 8,330 7,514
20 to 24 7,778 8,692 7,638
25 to 29 9,625 9,751 8,180
30 to 34 10,420 8,669 9,154
35 to 39 11,534 10,078 9,887
40 to 44 11,873 10,864 10,597
45 to 49 11,543 11,697 9,357
50 to 54 11,241 11,644 10,368
55 to 59 9,776 11,501 11,410
60 to 64 8,066 10,981 11,817
65 to 69 6,919 9,112 11,197
70 to 74 6,358 6,981 9,705
75 and up 11,049 13,960 19,506
Total 153,048 158,560 161,262

You can view the data for other Tennessee Counties which includes projections for every five years up to year 2025.  Click on the link below to go to the Tennessee webpage

Demographic Information on Age-Gender Composition

In addition to the population projections for each Tennessee city and county contained in the report above, you may access more detailed cohort-component data for a city or county below. (Please note that updated demographic projections will be forthcoming.)

Please either click a county on the Tennessee state map or click a county name in the alphabetical list below the map to access the cohort-component data. Note the Word of Caution following table listed below.

Click here to view state data for Tennessee Counties


I am one of the older population and am concerned about the future of Sullivan County.   No, you can’t move us out of the county, but you should be concerned about the future of the county when we have left this world.  There must be something in place to keep young people in Sullivan County.  A good start would be get companies that have good paying jobs to locate here.   If you too are concerned, talk to your elected officials.  You can email them at the following links.

email Kingsport BMA

email Candidates for Tennessee Governor

email Tennessee Legislators for area

email Sullivan County Commissioners

See list for

or

Comments are welcome.

Governor Bredesen, Commissioner Kisber Announce Unilever Expansion in Covington

October 6th, 2009 No comments

West Tennessee wins and East Tennessee loses again.  What are our local elected officials doing to bring  jobs to the Sullivan County area?

Project will Create 275 New Jobs and an Investment of $100 Million

NASHVILLE – Governor Phil Bredesen and Commissioner Matt Kisber of the Department of Economic and Community Development announced today that the Unilever plant in Covington, Tenn. will be expanding, generating an investment of $100 million and creating approximately 275 new jobs.

“This is great news for Unilever and the state of Tennessee,” Governor Bredesen said. “These new jobs are the result of a strong partnership between the state and the local community. I’m pleased Unilever has chosen to further solidify its presence in Tennessee and we look forward to working with them on this ambitious expansion project.”

Read more via Governor Bredesen, Commissioner Kisber Announce Unilever Expansion in Covington | TN.gov Newsroom.

Kingsport’s downtown turf battle

October 2nd, 2009 6 comments

image There is a turf battle occurring between the DKA (Downtown Kingsport Association) and DBA (Downtown Business Alliance).  These two competing organizations are trying to get funding from the City of Kingsport.

It is documented that Mayor Dennis Phillips has in the past attempted to merge the DKA into the Kingsport Chamber of Commerce.

image image The Kingsport Times-News reports that Mayor Phillips stated that at the Oct. 6, 2009 BMA meeting they would vote on Vice Mayor Mallicote proposal to withhold funding to the DKA if the DKA did not change their board leadership guidelines.  To me, this sounds like blackmail and it also points out that Mayor Phillips and Vice Mayor political allies are in the DBA organization.

If the DKA has a problem with the current BMA decisions, they could band together and vote out the current BMA in the next election.

There has been much that has been written on this dispute in the last few years.  See the links below.

Drama unfolds at DKA press conference on old Strand Theater

Kingsport leaders seek resolution to DKA, DBA dispute

Merchants air concerns over concert stage, moving concert location

Concerts causing friction between downtown organizations

DKA, DBA at loggerheads over best way to promote downtown Kingsport

DKA leaders set for merger meeting with chamber

City may consider buying State Theater building

DKA to partner with Restoration Church on Strand Theater project

Kingsport Developer gets in over his head, thinks old theater may be haunted and wants city to bail him out

Comments are welcome.

State panel approves purchase of land for Haywood megasite

September 30th, 2009 No comments

Sullivan County, Tennessee again is left out of the picture for job creation.  Does Sullivan County have any elected officials that will step up to the plate and get something done about good paying jobs for the area?  Maybe the local republican elected officials lack the clout with the state government?

Contact your elected officials and express your concern.

    NASHVILLE — After two hours of testimony by proponents and opponents, the State Building Commission on Tuesday approved the $40 million purchase of 3,836 acres of farmland in southwestern Haywood County for the West Tennessee industrial "megasite."

    State and local officials hope to use the site between Interstate 40 and U.S. 70 about 40 miles northeast of Memphis as a red carpet for a large, job-creating industrial or business development similar to those under way at Tennessee’s two other TVA-certified megasites: the Volkswagen automobile plant in Chattanooga and the Hemlock Semiconductor Corp. plant in Clarksville.

Read more via State panel approves purchase of land for Haywood megasite : Mid-South : Memphis Commercial Appeal.

Tri-Cities, TN Retail Sales Market Share

September 26th, 2009 1 comment

The data below shows that Johnson City has increased its retail sales share of the total retail sales in the Tri-Cities area.  The new retail establishments added in Kingsport in the last few years has not stopped its loss of market share.


Period Johnson City Kingsport Bristol
2nd Qtr. 09 42.9% 31.8% 25.3%
2008 42.2% 31.5% 26.3%
2007 42.2% 30.4% 27.4%
2006 41.6% 31.8% 26.6%
2005 42.0% 32.1% 25.9%
2004 41.0% 32.8% 26.2%
2003 40.5% 33.5% 26.1%
2002 41.3% 32.3% 26.4%
2001 40.7% 32.6% 26.8%
2000 39.1% 32.9% 28.1%

 

image

Source:  Dr. F. Steb Hipple – ETSU


Kingsport Developer gets in over his head, thinks old theater may be haunted and wants city to bail him out

September 24th, 2009 No comments

image A developer comes from another state and buys the old State Theater on Broad Street in Kingsport, Tennessee.  This developer (Douglas Beatty) starts work to renovate the State Theater building and finds that with the economy and his other investments that it might be better to sell his unfinished State Theater building to the City of Kingsport.

Doug Beatty, the developer has stated that he wants to get out what he has so far paid for the building and renovations which is about $450,000.  He further states that the entire cost to renovate the building would be about $900,000.

It appears that Doug Beatty is well connected with Mayor Phillips, Vice Mayor Mallicote, BMA members and the Kingsport Economic Development Board recently voted to spend nearly $10,000 to fund a study to determine the economic impact of a restored theater in downtown Kingsport.

The Kingsport Times-News reports that Bob Feathers with the Kingsport Economic Development Board believes some type of investment can occur to complete the theater project — regardless of what the economic development study shows.  I guess the question is, why is the city of Kingsport spending $10,000 for a study when they are going to do what they want to do to make this developer happy.

image Let the private sector take care of this. The city of Kingsport has no business bailing out someone who got in over his head.  I am sure that there are many folks in Kingsport would like for the city to bail them out of their current financial situation.

image During the renovation process, Doug Beatty became aware of apparently paranormal occurrences inside.  According to L.E.M.U.R Paranormal Investigation website, Doug Beatty met with L.E.M.U.R and permitted an investigation.

Kingsport Times-News

“I need to,” he said. “I want to at least get what I’ve got in it so I can satisfy the bank note.”

The theater is now appraised at $1.6 million by private professional appraisers, and at $1 million for county tax purposes.

Beatty said work is still progressing on the theater. But he doesn’t want to invest in any more big-ticket items such as $30,000 in sheet rock or new theater seats, until he’s in a better position or the city moves forward with an acquisition.

“I’ve got two restaurants that I really have to tend to and make sure that they’re able to pay their bills and stay open. That’s really distracting me financially and time-wise from the theater,” Beatty said.

“I really want to get it done, but I’m at a point right now, because the economy has taken so long to come back, that I’m not sure how much more I can plow ahead without putting myself at risk. I want to make sure that I’m acting responsibly and cautiously as it relates to all the development we’re doing downtown,” he said.

Feathers said he believes some type of investment can occur to complete the theater project — regardless of what the economic development study shows.

“I sincerely doubt it will be dropped altogether. But you never know,” Feathers said. “Economies could drive something different from our perspective and what we’re trying to do from an economic development perspective.

“But from a priority standpoint, this is a very important component to what we see as a good fit for the community.”

The owner of the State Theater is DB3 Development Company, LLC and is North Carolina company.  DB3 Development Company, LLC is listed as a FOREIGN company according to the Tennessee Secretary of State.  Below is from the State of Tennessee website

Name
I.D. Number
DB3 DEVELOPMENT COMPANY, LLC
0533682
Business Type*: LIMITED LIABILITY COMPANY
Profit/Nonprofit: FOR PROFIT
Status*: ACTIVE
Date of Formation/Qualification: 11/07/2006
Domestic/Foreign: FOREIGN
Place of Incorporation/Organization: NC
Duration: PERPETUAL
FYC(Fiscal Year Closing) Month: DECEMBER
Principal Office:
Address Line 1: 11346 TOOLE CREEK RD
Address Line 2:
City: ABINGDON
State: VA
Zip: 242108626
Other than USA:
Registered Agent:
Name: DOUGLAS BEATTY
Address Line 1: 501B E. MAIN ST.
Address Line 2:
City: KINGSPORT
State: TN
Zip: 376600000

According to Sullivan County, DB3 Development Co LLC also owns property at 227-229-23 Sullivan St.  It appears that there is construction work occurring at this location and the 2008 Sullivan County property taxes are not paid.

Let your Kingsport Board of Mayor and Alderman know your concerns about bailing out one of their pals.  Keep in mind the money spent to buy the State Theater will be your tax dollars.

email Kingsport BMA

    Feel free to leave a comment.